10 War

Of course, the word of the last week is War...Sorry, I'm not very funny again but who is responsible of that mess ? A good question...Is it Bibi, like some people says, or Trump to show his muscles and power ? Are there any proofs that Iran was going to attack ? Of course not...But the result is unpredictable. Who knows what's going on if Iran power collapses ? Not me and even the better specialists of the persian state are unable to know it. It's like opening the Pandora's box because the world is complex now : Price of oil and Oil export, Lack of Oil for many countries, Price of every goods that are built with oil, Tourism in Middle East, Potentially a regional war between several countries, Consequences in Lebanon and maybe Syria or Turkey, Migrants from Iran or other countries leaving the middle east, etc... Like a Domino Effect, who knows how it will evolve.

I'm too old to make war now...or I hope so. But I know enough on the subject and on history. I know what's a gun, a landmine, a tank, a missile and a trench. I don't know how it is to fight drones but I know how monstruous it is to make war, to lose friends, family. I remember "my" sergent, killed in Ivory Coast by a rocket. It was not even a war, ... A kind of civil war in which he was not even engaged. I remember also what my Grand Father told me about US bombing during WWII : Indiscriminate bombing that sometimes hit more homes than weapons factories. As for Russian Army, the doctrine never changes and they are doing the same in Iran than in Dresden. A girl school was destroyed in Teheran. I hear Trump saying that it is war...But they had other opportunities before that f....g Trump destroyed the Nuclear Deal with Iran. The illegal blocus against Iran did nothing good, as in Cuba for decades. Just killing poor people and encouraging a black market. Dumb!

Iran is not Irak, Libya or Afghanistan. It's a more modern and industrial country with a highly educated population, especially in Science, Mathematics. It could be a wealthy country but it's more complex than that with Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Israel... and of course the Islamic Government which opportunistically seized power after the dictature of the Shah (also made by western countries to seize oil! ). War can be good for business for some rich people but is nver good for the people. Iran people just want more freedom but don't want to have a government chosen by western countries anymore. It's not simple to change and we saw it in Tunisia or Egypt recentrly : A revolution, a will of freedom but at the end, another dictature. How many years did it take for France or USA to be a real democracy ? And is it forever ? Of course not and we can see it in... USA, and I think soon in France.

I thought that I won't see another war in my country... Or I hoped so but I'm not so optimistic for the future now. I hear some voices saying that War is good for economy, unemployment. Stupid ideas of course but for the people making business on poverty and chaos, it's not stupid. They are in the lead, in the circles of power. Even AI is useful now for War, as we saw in Iran with AI-driven drones. Well, I'm trying to find a good way to finish this post. For the moment the war is far from France, from USA, from our families and we can learn from other wars not to accept that fate ! If there is a good reason to fight, it's against war !

2Dɛ

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